Below is a non-exhaustive list of publications and outputs which refer to or use the UK Hydrological Outlook methods or results. We welcome additions to this list, so please do let us know, if you would like your work to feature by contacting us.

  • Arribas, A., Glover, M., Maidens, A., Peterson, K., Gordon, M., MacLachlan, C., … Cusack, S. (2011). The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting. Monthly Weather Review, 139(6), 1891–1910. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3615.1
  • Barker, L. J., Hannaford, J., Chiverton, A., & Svensson, C. (2016). From meteorological to hydrological drought using standardised indicators. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(6), 2483–2505. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2483-2016
  • Bell, V. A., Davies, H. N., Kay, A. L., Marsh, T. J., Brookshaw, A., & Jenkins, A. (2013). Developing a large-scale water-balance approach to seasonal forecasting: application to the 2012 drought in Britain. Hydrological Processes, 27(20), 3003–3012. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9863
  • Bell, V. A., Davies, H. N., Kay, A. L., Brookshaw, A., & Scaife, A. A. (2017). A national-scale seasonal hydrological forecast system: Development and evaluation over Britain. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(9), 4681–4691. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4681-2017
  • Folland, C. K., Hannaford, J., Bloomfield, J. P., Kendon, M., Svensson, C., Marchant, B. P., … Wallace, E. (2015). Multi-annual droughts in the English Lowlands: A review of their characteristics and climate drivers in the winter half-year. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19(5), 2353–2375. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2353-2015
  • Harrigan, S., Prudhomme, C., Parry, S., Smith, K., & Tanguy, M. (2018). Benchmarking ensemble streamflow prediction skill in the UK. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(3), 2023–2039. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2023-2018
  • Mackay, J. D., Jackson, C. R., Brookshaw, A., Scaife, A. A., Cook, J., & Ward, R. S. (2015). Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in principal aquifers of the United Kingdom. Journal of Hydrology, 530, 815–828. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.10.018
  • Maclachlan, C., Arribas, A., Peterson, K. A., Maidens, A., Fereday, D., Scaife, A. A., … Madec, G. (2015). Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): A high-resolution seasonal forecast system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141(689), 1072–1084. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2396
  • Prudhomme, C., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Boorman, D., Knight, J., Bell, V., … Jenkins, A. (2017). Hydrological Outlook UK: an operational streamflow and groundwater level forecasting system at monthly to seasonal time scales. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 62(16), 2753–2768. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2017.1395032
  • Scaife, A. A., Arribas, A., Blockley, E., Brookshaw, A., Clark, R. T., Dunstone, N., … Williams, A. (2014). Skillful long-range prediction of European and North American winters. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(7). https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL059637
  • Svensson, C., Brookshaw, A., Scaife, A. A., Bell, V. A., Mackay, J. D., Jackson, C. R., … Stanley, S. (2015). Long-range forecasts of UK winter hydrology. Environmental Research Letters, 10(6), 064006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064006
  • Svensson, C., & Hannaford, J. (2019). Oceanic conditions associated with Euro-Atlantic high pressure and UK drought. Environmental Research Communications, 1(10). https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab42f7