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UK Hydrological Outlook

Latest Outlook

In December 2023 some upgrades were made to improve our outlook, with new forecasts based on historic weather analogues. You can find out more in our blog post.

Period: From February 2024

Issued on 08.02.2024 using data to the end of January 2024

The outlook for February is for normal to above normal flows, and normal to exceptionally high groundwater levels to be seen across northern and eastern parts of the UK. Flows in south-western Britain and Northern Ireland are likely to be normal to below normal for February. This pattern is likely to persist for river flows over the next three months, whilst groundwater levels are likely to recess to be normal to above normal, with some normal to below normal exceptions.

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